ZTO Express/$ZTO

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About ZTO Express

ZTO Express is China's largest express delivery company by parcel volume, with a volume share of 19.4% in 2024. It operates a network partner model where it provides line-haul transportation and sorting services, while its local network partners provide first-mile pickup and last-mile delivery services under the ZTO brand name. Headquartered in Shanghai, the company was founded in 2002 by Meisong Lai, who remains chair, CEO, and its major shareholder with 78% voting rights as of March 31, 2025. ZTO's strategic shareholder is leading China e-commerce company Alibaba Group with around an 8.9% interest.

Ticker

$ZTO

Sector

Mobility

Primary listing

NYSE

Employees

23,913
Headquarters
Shanghai, China
Website
www.zto.com

ZTO Express Metrics

BasicAdvanced
$15B
16.78
$1.14
-0.13
$0.68
3.56%

What the Analysts think about ZTO Express

Analyst ratings (Buy, Hold, Sell) for ZTO Express stock.

Bulls say / Bears say

ZTO Express outperformed in Q4 2024 with revenue up 21.7% year-over-year to RMB12.92 billion versus analysts’ RMB11.71 billion estimate and parcel volume up 11%, prompting a 2.91% share rise in pre-market trading and illustrating robust pricing power (Investing.com).
In Q1 2025, ZTO maintained strong operational momentum with parcel volume surging 19.1% to 8.54 billion and adjusted net income rising 1.6% to RMB2.26 billion, while reaffirming full-year volume guidance and extending its share repurchase program through June 2026, signalling management’s confidence in cash flow stability (Investing.com).
Alibaba Group’s exploration of issuing exchangeable bonds to reduce its ~8.9% stake in ZTO suggests strong investor demand and liquidity in ZTO’s shares, potentially underpinning share valuation and providing a floor for stock performance (Investing.com)
Q1 2025 earnings missed analyst expectations, with adjusted ADS earnings of RMB2.71 versus consensus of RMB2.93 and revenue of RMB10.89 billion falling short of the RMB11.68 billion estimate, underscoring intense pricing pressure from volume incentives (Investing.com).
ZTO’s Q2 2025 gross profit declined 18.7% year-over-year to RMB2.94 billion and gross margin contracted by 8.9 percentage points to 24.9%, highlighting severe margin compression amid competitive pricing wars (Investing.com).
Adjusted net income for Q2 2025 fell 26.8% year-over-year to RMB2.05 billion, the company missed revenue and EPS forecasts and its shares dipped 2.33% in after-market trading, signifying investor concern over profitability trends (Investing.com)
Data summarised monthly by Lightyear AI. Last updated on 4 Sept 2025.

ZTO Express Financial Performance

Revenues and expenses
QuarterlyAnnual
Q3 24
QoQ growth
Revenue
$37B
-39.75%
Net income
$45B
107.52%
Profit margin
37.65%
6.78%

ZTO Express Earnings Performance

Company profitability
QuarterlyAnnual
Q4 23
Q1 24
Q2 24
Q3 24
Q4 24
Actual
$3.69
$2.85
$2.45
$2.42
-
Expected
$3.55
$2.61
$2.05
$2.31
$3.94
Surprise
3.94%
9.20%
19.51%
4.63%
-
Data displayed above is indicative only and its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. Actual execution price may vary. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Your return may be affected by currency fluctuations and applicable fees and charges. Capital at risk.
Real-time US market data is sourced from the IEX order book provided by Polygon. After-hours US market data is 15 minutes delayed and may differ significantly from the actual tradable price at market open.

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